Tom's IT Sandbox

Item Volatility

Measure which items are stable and which are inherently difficult to plan.

Executive framing

Executive Summary — Answer First

Decision rule: review this page first, then move to deeper drill-down only when the result is economically meaningful.
  • Volatility matters because unstable items consume disproportionate planning effort and safety stock.
  • Use this page to separate predictable core demand from unstable demand.
  • High-volume and high-volatility items deserve the most active management.
SCQA / Context

Situation: some items are forecasted repeatedly over time. Complication: not all items are equally predictable. Question: which SKUs are structurally volatile and therefore operationally risky? Answer: rank items by standard deviation, range, and point count.

Issue Tree / Diagnosis
  • Demand stability by item
  • Planning complexity and inventory risk
  • Prioritization of exception management
Analysis & Insights
  • Volatility is a leading indicator of forecast difficulty.
  • The combination of volatility and volume is more important than volatility alone.
  • Stable items can often be managed with lighter-touch rules; volatile items cannot.
Recommendations
  • Create a watchlist of high-volume, high-volatility items.
  • Use tailored planning policies by volatility tier.
  • Review whether volatility is real demand behavior or forecast process noise.
KPIs
  • Standard deviation by item
  • Range by item
  • Volatility tier counts
  • Share of total volume in high-volatility items
Implementation Roadmap
Phase Key action Owner Success metric
1. Review Run the report and isolate the highest-value exceptions. Planning / Operations Material issues identified within one review cycle.
2. Validate Confirm whether the result reflects real business change, timing shift, or data-quality issue. Forecast owner Exceptions explained and documented.
3. Act Translate validated findings into supply, capacity, purchasing, or governance actions. Cross-functional team Action owners assigned with due dates.
Risks, Gaps, and Next Steps
  • Do not treat a statistical exception as a business conclusion without validating the commercial or operational driver.
  • Where economics are missing, pair this page with item margin, lead time, or inventory exposure before escalating.
  • Use the summary line above the grid to confirm row volume; unexpected row counts often indicate filter or data issues.
This report does not require filters.
118 row(s) returned.
Analysis output

Data Table

Use the table below to validate the hypothesis, size the issue, and identify the items or periods that need action.
ForecastBatchIDItemCodeForecastPointsAvgQtyStdDevQtyMinQtyMaxQtyRangeQty
7V20255AX1014,200.35,995.84,00020,00016,000
7VX3025584,000.04,070.81,00011,00010,000
7VS25255X912,572.93,935.25,15616,00010,844
7V25255AX109,409.02,977.64,00012,0008,000
7VX10155106,900.02,282.81,0009,0008,000
7VX07155104,900.01,595.12,0007,0005,000
7VFT25254X42,760.51,493.11,0004,0003,000
7UVX0725595,888.91,364.23,0008,0005,000
7M300AX43,800.01,235.62,0004,8002,800
7300FX132,769.4987.45024,0003,498
7300XPL112,213.2639.18453,0002,155
7UVX1025594,888.9600.94,0006,0002,000
7UVX20255101,700.0537.51,0002,5001,500
7300EX111,709.1454.91,1002,5001,400
7VSF30264X101,990.0331.51,4002,4001,000
7WSF20264X141,071.4267.31,0002,0001,000
7VX25355B181,100.0242.55001,7001,200
7SWX1027385.7106.9200500300
7UV20257FDX5500.00.05005000
7VS20255X105,000.00.05,0005,0000
8V25255AX118,731.93,915.35112,00011,949
8VX3025583,500.02,828.42,00010,0008,000
8VS25255X1012,400.02,270.68,00016,0008,000
8V20255AX818,500.02,070.216,00020,0004,000
8VX0715596,000.02,061.61,0008,0007,000
8UVX07255106,200.01,988.92,0009,0007,000
8UVX10255105,100.01,969.21,0009,0008,000
8VX1015597,111.11,269.35,0009,0004,000
8VFT25254X43,750.01,258.32,0005,0003,000
8300FX143,000.11,220.024,3004,298
8M300AX44,600.01,104.53,0005,5002,500
8UVX2025552,292.8654.72,0003,4641,464
8300XPL122,497.7637.71,5003,5002,000
8VSF30264X101,670.0457.25002,1001,600
8VX25355B181,172.2452.25002,8002,300
8300EX111,502.2391.81,0002,3001,300
8WSF20264X171,117.6332.11,0002,0001,000
8SWX1027442.9113.4300600300
8VS20255X115,006.722.35,0005,07474
8UV20257FDX5500.00.05005000
9V20255AX1211,126.34,679.64,00020,00016,000
9V25255AX99,333.33,464.14,00012,0008,000
9VS25255X911,111.13,333.34,00016,00012,000
9VX3025583,375.02,973.11,0009,0008,000
9M300AX53,141.42,237.675,4005,393
9UVX0725595,366.62,147.42997,0006,701
9VS20255X114,551.61,487.1685,0004,932
9VX07155105,700.01,337.53,0007,0004,000
9VX10155105,700.01,059.34,0008,0004,000
9UVX1025585,250.01,035.14,0006,0002,000
9300FX122,709.3747.81,0003,8002,800
9VSF30264X111,577.8662.5562,1002,044
9VFT25254X43,500.0577.43,0004,0001,000
9UVX2025571,928.6534.51,0002,5001,500
9300EX101,870.0503.41,3002,8001,500
9300XPL71,785.7393.41,0002,0001,000
9VX25355B181,027.3225.25001,400900
9UV20257FDX5468.071.6340500160
9SWX1027428.648.8400500100
9WSF20264X171,000.00.01,0001,0000
10V20255AX815,500.03,964.18,00020,00012,000
10VX3025574,000.03,000.02,00010,0008,000
10V25255AX810,000.02,138.18,00012,0004,000
10VS25255X109,600.02,065.68,00012,0004,000
10VX1015596,333.31,870.83,00010,0007,000
10UVX0725585,875.01,807.72,0008,0006,000
10VX0715595,444.41,740.11,0007,0006,000
10UVX1025585,250.01,488.02,0007,0005,000
10M300AX43,825.01,350.01,9004,9003,000
10300FX102,810.0672.41,5003,8002,300
10VFT25254X43,500.0577.43,0004,0001,000
10300EX101,860.0460.01,4002,8001,400
10WSF20264X151,003.2369.0482,0001,952
10VSF30264X91,722.2323.21,1002,1001,000
10UVX2025562,166.7258.22,0002,500500
10VX25355B161,022.1257.55001,400900
10SWX1027400.0100.0200500300
10VS20255X95,007.622.75,0005,06868
10300XPL62,000.00.02,0002,0000
11V20255AX913,333.34,000.04,00016,00012,000
11VS25255X910,666.72,828.44,00012,0008,000
11VS20255X95,563.12,497.03,06812,0008,932
11VX30255103,300.02,406.01,0008,0007,000
11V25255AX127,333.32,309.44,00012,0008,000
11VX10155114,395.22,118.74517,0006,549
11DM20254MX32,022.71,966.1684,0003,932
11UVX0725585,375.01,598.02,0007,0005,000
11VX07155114,626.91,438.33,0007,0004,000
11VSF30264X82,112.51,193.41,3005,0003,700
11M300AX34,520.71,171.33,7005,8622,162
11UVX1025584,250.01,035.12,0005,0003,000
11VFT25254X52,400.0894.41,0003,0002,000
11300XPL82,187.5651.21,0003,0002,000
11300EX121,716.7527.11,0003,0002,000
11300FX102,750.0495.02,0003,5001,500
11UVX2025561,833.3408.21,0002,0001,000
11WSF20264X171,002.8345.2482,0001,952
11VX25355B18869.6260.92461,3001,054
11SWX1028375.0128.2100500400
12V20255AX912,888.95,577.74,00020,00016,000
12V25255AX108,472.63,810.572612,00011,274
12DM20254MX32,681.01,917.25004,1003,600
12M300AX43,765.51,830.01,4005,8624,462
12VS25255X911,111.11,763.88,00012,0004,000
12VX07155105,000.01,699.71,0006,0005,000
12VX1015594,997.41,505.81,9777,0005,023
12VFT25254X43,000.01,414.21,0004,0003,000
12VS20255X94,671.8984.72,0465,0002,954
12UVX1025584,875.0834.54,0006,0002,000
12UVX0725585,750.0707.15,0007,0002,000
12UVX2025561,666.7516.41,0002,0001,000
12300FX112,681.8470.82,0003,2001,200
12300EX101,550.0445.31,1002,5001,400
12300XPL82,125.0443.21,5003,0001,500
12VSF30264X81,550.0385.41,1002,1001,000
12WSF20264X121,032.8350.93942,0001,606
12VX25355B191,060.7250.75001,6001,100
12SWX1028350.075.6200400200